Luca Delle Monache

Generating a 1000-Member Ensemble of Integrated Water Vapor Transport Forecasts with Diffusion

Persistent SST anomaly vs. dynamical ocean model in winter weather forecasts: Global Ensemble Prediction System versions 5 and 6 over the North Pacific and North Atlantic

Physics-Based Versus AI Weather Prediction Models: A Comparative Performance Assessment of Atmospheric River Prediction

Machine learning (ML) poses a potential paradigm shift in weather forecasting, but critical questions arise regarding its ability to predict high-impact weather events. This study …

Advancing Atmospheric River Science and Inspiring Future Development of the Atmospheric River Reconnaissance Program

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Subseasonal Prediction of Impactful California Winter Weather in a Hybrid Dynamical‐Statistical Framework

Using Deep Learning for an Analysis of Atmospheric Rivers in a High-Resolution Large Ensemble Climate Data Set

There is currently large uncertainty over the impacts of climate change on precipitation trends over the US west coast. Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are a significant source of US …

Subseasonal prediction of impactful California weather in a hybrid dynamical-statistical framework

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) and Santa Ana winds (SAWs) are impactful weather events for California communities. Emergency planning efforts and resource management would benefit from …

Subseasonal prediction of impactful California weather in a hybrid dynamical-statistical framework

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) and Santa Ana winds (SAWs) are impactful weather events for California communities. Emergency planning efforts and resource management would benefit from …

Multi-Model Subseasonal Prediction Skill Assessment of Water Vapor Transport Associated With Atmospheric Rivers Over the Western US

Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasts of atmospheric rivers (ARs) are in high demand in the water supply management and flood control communities. This study focuses on a new …

Development of a Statistical Subseasonal Forecast Tool to Predict California Atmospheric Rivers and Precipitation Based on MJO and QBO Activity

This paper examines the empirical relationship between the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO), the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO), and atmospheric river (AR) activity and …